Description:Elections are random events. From individuals deciding whether to vote, to individuals deciding for whom to vote, to election authorities deciding what to count, the outcomes of competitive democratic elections are rarely known until election day... or beyond. Understanding Elections Through Statistics: Polling Prediction, and Testing explores this random phenomenon from two points of view: predicting the election outcome using opinion polls and testing the election outcome using government-reported data.Written for those with only a brief introduction to statistics, this book takes you on a statistical journey from how polls are taken to how they can--and should--be used to estimate current popular opinion. Once an understanding of the election process is built, we turn towards testing elections for evidence of unfairness. While holding elections has become the de facto proof of government legitimacy, those electoral processes may hide the dirty little secret of the government illicitly ensuring a favorable election outcome.This book includes these features designed to make your statistical journey more enjoyable:vignettes of elections, including maps, starting each chapter to motivate the material;in-chapter cues to help one avoid the heavy math--or focus on it;end-of-chapter problems designed to review and extend that which was covered in the chapter; andmany opportunities to turn the power of the R Statistical Environment to the enclosed election data files, as well as to those you find interesting.From these features, it is clear that the audience for this book is quite diverse. It provides the mathematics for those interested in mathematics, but also provides detours for those who just want a good read and a deeper understanding of elections. Ole J. Forsberg holds PhD degrees both in Political Science and in Statistics. He currently teaches mathematics and statistics in the Department of Mathematics at Knox College in Galesburg, IL.We have made it easy for you to find a PDF Ebooks without any digging. And by having access to our ebooks online or by storing it on your computer, you have convenient answers with Understanding Elections through Statistics: Polling, Prediction, and Testing (Chapman & Hall/CRC Statistics in the Social and Behavioral Sciences). To get started finding Understanding Elections through Statistics: Polling, Prediction, and Testing (Chapman & Hall/CRC Statistics in the Social and Behavioral Sciences), you are right to find our website which has a comprehensive collection of manuals listed. Our library is the biggest of these that have literally hundreds of thousands of different products represented.
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Understanding Elections through Statistics: Polling, Prediction, and Testing (Chapman & Hall/CRC Statistics in the Social and Behavioral Sciences)
Description: Elections are random events. From individuals deciding whether to vote, to individuals deciding for whom to vote, to election authorities deciding what to count, the outcomes of competitive democratic elections are rarely known until election day... or beyond. Understanding Elections Through Statistics: Polling Prediction, and Testing explores this random phenomenon from two points of view: predicting the election outcome using opinion polls and testing the election outcome using government-reported data.Written for those with only a brief introduction to statistics, this book takes you on a statistical journey from how polls are taken to how they can--and should--be used to estimate current popular opinion. Once an understanding of the election process is built, we turn towards testing elections for evidence of unfairness. While holding elections has become the de facto proof of government legitimacy, those electoral processes may hide the dirty little secret of the government illicitly ensuring a favorable election outcome.This book includes these features designed to make your statistical journey more enjoyable:vignettes of elections, including maps, starting each chapter to motivate the material;in-chapter cues to help one avoid the heavy math--or focus on it;end-of-chapter problems designed to review and extend that which was covered in the chapter; andmany opportunities to turn the power of the R Statistical Environment to the enclosed election data files, as well as to those you find interesting.From these features, it is clear that the audience for this book is quite diverse. It provides the mathematics for those interested in mathematics, but also provides detours for those who just want a good read and a deeper understanding of elections. Ole J. Forsberg holds PhD degrees both in Political Science and in Statistics. He currently teaches mathematics and statistics in the Department of Mathematics at Knox College in Galesburg, IL.We have made it easy for you to find a PDF Ebooks without any digging. And by having access to our ebooks online or by storing it on your computer, you have convenient answers with Understanding Elections through Statistics: Polling, Prediction, and Testing (Chapman & Hall/CRC Statistics in the Social and Behavioral Sciences). To get started finding Understanding Elections through Statistics: Polling, Prediction, and Testing (Chapman & Hall/CRC Statistics in the Social and Behavioral Sciences), you are right to find our website which has a comprehensive collection of manuals listed. Our library is the biggest of these that have literally hundreds of thousands of different products represented.